Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.048048 0.055047 0.062319 0.070409 0.079126 0.088206 0.098351
2025-04-20 0.039433 0.050038 0.061721 0.075399 0.090830 0.107568 0.126968
2025-04-27 0.030260 0.042368 0.056450 0.073687 0.093888 0.116512 0.143471
2025-05-04 0.025894 0.039349 0.055697 0.076402 0.101351 0.129931 0.164642
2025-05-11 0.021061 0.034941 0.052586 0.075704 0.104311 0.137775 0.179126
2025-05-18 0.018279 0.032746 0.051862 0.077604 0.110136 0.148806 0.197216
2025-05-25 0.015803 0.030592 0.050888 0.078939 0.115077 0.158662 0.213854
2025-06-01 0.012554 0.026829 0.047359 0.076621 0.115166 0.162418 0.223022
2025-06-08 0.009970 0.023659 0.044309 0.074640 0.115440 0.166217 0.232103
2025-06-15 0.008790 0.022582 0.044125 0.076446 0.120554 0.176009 0.248522
2025-06-22 0.007518 0.021135 0.043242 0.077166 0.124162 0.183868 0.262555
2025-06-29 0.007087 0.021149 0.044553 0.080977 0.131905 0.197019 0.283240
2025-07-06 0.005706 0.019225 0.042856 0.080635 0.134377 0.203899 0.296753
2025-07-13 0.005458 0.019577 0.044865 0.085822 0.144560 0.220960 0.323411
2025-07-20 0.004093 0.017228 0.042203 0.083918 0.144886 0.225186 0.333846
2025-07-27 0.003629 0.016815 0.042766 0.086851 0.151946 0.238253 0.355600
2025-08-03 0.002774 0.015177 0.041011 0.086093 0.153723 0.244311 0.368377
2025-08-10 0.002362 0.014592 0.041084 0.088152 0.159496 0.255691 0.388048
2025-08-17 0.001950 0.013860 0.040804 0.089596 0.164363 0.265863 0.406190
2025-08-24 0.001301 0.012026 0.038185 0.087086 0.163351 0.268023 0.413838
2025-08-31 0.000833 0.010464 0.035890 0.084939 0.162745 0.270646 0.422034
2025-09-07 0.000674 0.010099 0.036043 0.086897 0.168247 0.281636 0.441274
2025-09-14 0.000492 0.009462 0.035536 0.087677 0.171960 0.290171 0.457302